Image of John MoellerJohn F. Moeller, PhD

Dr. Moeller is a health economist with an expertise on matters of longitudinal modeling, health policy and health care finance. Dr. Moeller served for 15 years as the division head and senior health economist, Division of Modeling and Simulation, Center for Financing, Access and Cost Trends (CFACT) at the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality. In this capacity he directed the development of a health care microsimulation model by a group of PhD economists under his supervision. A number of important policy-related articles have been published from this modeling work that address issues of the uninsured and underinsured, in addition to the cost and distributional aspects of both current and proposed federal and State health care policies.

In addition to his research on dental care services, Moeller also directed and made substantial contributions to the development of prescription drug data from the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey and to publications and reports to Congress and the White House using these data.

Selected Publications:

Stagnitti, M., Miller, G.E., and Moeller, J., “Outpatient Prescription Drug Expenses, 1999,” with Marie Stagnitti and G. Edward Miller. MEPS Chartbook No.12. AHRQ Publication No. 04-0001, (Rockville,MD: Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality) October 2003.

Moeller, J., Cohen, S., Mathiowetz, N., and Wun, L.M., “Regression-Based Sampling for Persons with High Health Expenditures: Evaluating Accuracy and Yield with the 1997 MEPS,” Medical Care 41(7), July 2003 Supplement, 44-52.

Manski, R., Moeller, J., Hupp, J., “An Analysis of Surgical Dental Visits by Provider Type, 1996,” Oral Surgery, Oral Medicine, Oral Pathology, Oral Radiology, and Endodontics 94(6),December 2002, 687-691.

Manski, R., Macek, M., Moeller, J.,“Private Dental Coverage: Who Has It and How Does It Influence Dental Visits and Expenditures?” Journal of the American Dental Association, 133, November 2002, 1551-1559.

Macek, M., Manski, R., Vargas, C., and Moeller, J., “Comparing Oral Health Care Utilization Estimates in the U.S. Across Three Nationally Representative Surveys,” Health Services Research, 37(2), April 2002, 1-23.

Edelstein, B., Manski, R., and Moeller, J., “Child Dental Expenditures: 1996,” Pediatric Dentistry 24(1), 2002, 11-17.
Manski, R. and Moeller, J., “Dental Services: An Analysis of Visits, Procedures and Providers, 1996," Journal of the American Dental Association 133, February 2002, 167-175.

Moeller, J., Cohen, S., Hock, E., et al. “Methodology of Projecting 1987 NMES Household Survey Data,” AHRQ Methodology Report No. 13, AHRQ Publication No. 02-0009 (Rockville, MD: Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality) February 2002.

Selden, T., Levit, K., Cohen, J., Zuvekas, S., Moeller, J., McKusick, D., and Arnett, R., “Reconciling Medical Expenditure Estimates from the Medical Expenditure Panel Study Survey and the National HealthAccounts,” Health Care Financing Review, 23 (1), Fall 2001, 161-178.

Miller, G.E. and Moeller, J., “Outpatient Prescription Drug Prices and Insurance Coverage: An Analysis by Therapeutic Drug Class and User Characteristics from the 1996 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey,” Research in Human Capital and Development, Volume 14, Investing in Health: the Social and Economic Benefits of Health Care Innovation, edited by I. Farquhar, K. Summers, and A. Sorkin, (JAI/Elsevier Science Ltd., Oxford, U.K., 2001), pp. 23-57.

Manski, R., Edelstein, B.L., and Moeller, J., “The Impact of Insurance Coverage on Children’s Dental Visits and Expenditures, 1996,” Journal of the American Dental Association, 132, August 2001, 1137-1145.

Moeller, J., Stagnitti, M., Horan, E., et al., “Outpatient Prescription Drugs: Data Collection and Editing in the 1996 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (HC-010A),” MEPS Methodology Report No. 12. AHRQ Pub. No. 01-0002 (Rockville MD: Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality) June 2001.

Manski, R. and Moeller, J., “Dental Services: An Analysis of Utilization over 20 Years,” Journal of the American Dental Association, 130, May 2001, 655-664.
Selden, T. and Moeller, J., "Estimates of the Tax Subsidy for Employment-Related Health Insurance,” National Tax Journal, 53(4) Part I, December 2000, 877-887.
Huttin, C., Moeller, J., and Stafford, R., “Patterns and Costs for Hypertension Treatment in the United States: Clinical,Lifestyle, and Socioeconomic Predictors from the 1987 National Medical ExpenditureSurvey,” Clinical Drug Investigation, 20(3), September 2000, 181-195.

Manski, R., Davidson, W., and Moeller, J., “Orthodontic Dental Visits During 1987 and 1996,” American Journal of Orthodontics and Dentofacial Orthopedics, 118(1), July 2000, 10-13.

Edelstein, B., Manski, R., and Moeller, J., “Pediatric Dental Visits During 1996: An Analysis of the Federal Medical Expenditure Panel Survey” Pediatric Dentistry, 22(1), January/February 2000, 17-20.

Manski, R., Moeller, J., and Maas, W., “Dental Services: Use, Expenditures and Sources of Payment, 1987" Journal of the American Dental Association, 130, April, 1999, 500-508.
Manski, R., Moeller, J., Maas, W., “A Comparison of Dental Care Expenditures and Office-Based Medical Care Expenditures, 1987" Journal of the American Dental Association, 130, May 1999, 659-666.

Zabinski, D., Selden, T., Moeller, J., and Banthin, J., "Medical Savings Accounts: Microsimulation Results from a Model with Adverse Selection” Journal of Health Economics, 18 (1999) 195-218.

Moeller, J., "Gainers and Losers Under a Tax-Based Health Care Reform." Inquiry, 32, Fall 1995, pp. 285-299.

Moeller, J. and Mathiowetz, N., "Problems of Screening for Poverty Status," Journal of Official Statistics, 10(3), 1994, pp. 327-337.

Moeller, J., “Evaluation of Economic Loss in Wrongful Discharge, Parts I and II,” The Job Description, The Defense Research Institute, vol. 3 (1) June 1991 and vol. 4 (1), April 1991.

Anderson, J., Jorgenson, D., Moeller, J., and Sleznick, D., The National Institute of Aging Macroeconomic-Demographic Model of Health Care and Consumer Expenditures, NIH Publication No. 90-2986. National Institutes of Health: Washington, D.C., January 1990.

Moeller, J. and Mathiowetz, N., Prescribed Medicines: A Summary of Use and Expenditures by Medicare Beneficiaries, with Nancy A. Mathiowetz, National Medical Expenditure Survey Research Findings 3, Rockville, MD, September 1989.

Moeller, J., Mathiowetz, N., and Cohen, S., Prescription Drugs: Use and Expenditures by Medicare Beneficiaries, Report to Congress, (National Center for Health Services Research: Rockville, MD), May, 1989.

Research Interests:

Health care expenditures and financing Microsimulation models of health care policy impacts